UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jones vs Bonnar

2,377

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance Jones
WILL WIN

1,916

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.9 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 215 cm vs 203 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly younger 29 years vs 39 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Stephan Bonnar
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bonnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones Bonnar
Significant Strikes97
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Bonnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate Bonnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bonnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stephan
Bonnar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bonnar Jones
Significant Strikes37
Bonnar's average striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bonnar's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bonnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bonnar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bonnar is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Bonnar 8.5
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Bonnar 8.3
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Bonnar 7.3
Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Bonnar 7.5
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Bonnar 7.9
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 31, 2009UFC 94
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,7821,882
1,8461,818
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Bonnar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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