UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jones vs Rockhold

2,377

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,108

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.4 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better takedown defense 9.9 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 196 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Significantly fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 9:09, how much damage will he do? Jones Rockhold
Significant Strikes55
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:09
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:09
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 9:09, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Jones
Significant Strikes33
Rockhold's excellent striking offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:09
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:09
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Rockhold 9.1
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Rockhold 7.4
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Rockhold 7.9
Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Rockhold 8.6
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Rockhold 9.5
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Rockhold
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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