UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jones vs Woodley

2,377

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
84% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 188 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much taller 193 cm vs 175 cm More than 10% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 30 years vs 35 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
From what we can tell, Jon Jones dominates Tyron Woodley in every way.
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones Woodley
Significant Strikes87
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Jones's excellent takedown offense is matched by Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Woodley Jones
Significant Strikes49
Woodley's good striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Woodley's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Woodley 8.9
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Woodley 8.4
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Woodley 8.5
Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Woodley 7.7
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Woodley 8.9
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Woodley
Read More
Jones vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Woodley vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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