UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Castillo vs Volkmann

2,001

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Castillo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
64% chance Castillo
WILL WIN

1,901

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Danny Castillo
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Jacob Volkmann
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Castillo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Volkmann’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Danny
Castillo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Castillo Volkmann
Significant Strikes48
Castillo's average striking offense won't be a factor against Volkmann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Castillo's excellent takedown offense will dominate Volkmann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Castillo is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Castillo is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Castillo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Volkmann on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Castillo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jacob
Volkmann
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Volkmann Castillo
Significant Strikes27
Volkmann's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Castillo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Volkmann's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Castillo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Volkmann is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Volkmann is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Volkmann has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Castillo 8.4
fighter Volkmann 7.7
Great striking by Castillo
25 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Means
38 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Sass
55 strikes Mar 03, 2011 vs Stevenson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Castillo 9.2
fighter Volkmann 9.0
Great takedowns by Castillo
6 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Means
4 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Sass
5 takedowns Mar 03, 2011 vs Stevenson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Castillo 7.9
fighter Volkmann 6.8
Great knockouts by Castillo
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Bailey
Round 1 Dec 16, 2010 vs Kerr
Round 2 Aug 09, 2009 vs Lamas

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Castillo 6.8
fighter Volkmann 7.5
Great submissions by Volkmann
Round 1 Oct 05, 2012 vs Roller
Round 2 May 15, 2009 vs Knabjian
Round 1 Sep 05, 2008 vs Merth

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Castillo 7.7
fighter Volkmann 7.7
Fast finishes by Castillo
292 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bailey
85 seconds Dec 16, 2010 vs Kerr
555 seconds Aug 09, 2009 vs Lamas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
1,8851,992
1,8502,027
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Castillo
legend Volkmann
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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