UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Castillo vs Felder

2,001

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Castillo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
73% chance Castillo
WILL WIN

1,828

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Danny Castillo
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Paul Felder
Much heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Castillo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Felder’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Danny
Castillo
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Castillo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Castillo is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Castillo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Felder on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Castillo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Felder
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Felder has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Felder is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Felder is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Castillo 7.9
fighter Felder 8.3
Great knockouts by Felder
Round 1 Feb 08, 2013 vs Nuno
Round 1 Dec 29, 2012 vs Worthy
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Goodrum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Castillo 6.8
fighter Felder 6.5
Great submissions by Castillo
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Hill
Round 1 Dec 22, 2007 vs Jara
Round 1 Nov 11, 2007 vs Terry

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Castillo 7.7
fighter Felder 7.7
Fast finishes by Castillo
292 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bailey
85 seconds Dec 16, 2010 vs Kerr
555 seconds Aug 09, 2009 vs Lamas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 3, 2015UFC 182
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Castillo
legend Felder
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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