UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Belfort vs Akiyama

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
89% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

1,850

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.4 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.2 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.5 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Yoshihiro Akiyama
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.8 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Akiyama’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 5:33, how much damage will he do? Belfort Akiyama
Significant Strikes35
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Akiyama's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 50 Significant Strikes in 5:33
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Akiyama's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:33
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Akiyama on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoshihiro
Akiyama
In 5:33, how much damage will he do? Akiyama Belfort
Significant Strikes8
Akiyama's average striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 50 Significant Strikes in 5:33
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Akiyama's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Akiyama is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Akiyama is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Akiyama is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Akiyama 8.1
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Akiyama 8.7
Great takedowns by Akiyama
3 takedowns Jul 11, 2009 vs Belcher
1 takedown Nov 05, 2005 vs Okuda
1 takedown Jul 06, 2005 vs Toomey

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Akiyama 7.4
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Akiyama 7.9
Great submissions by Akiyama
Round 1 Oct 09, 2006 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Mar 15, 2006 vs Ishizawa
Round 1 Jul 06, 2005 vs Toomey

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Akiyama 8.2
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 6, 2011UFC 133
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
2,0471,895
2,0761,866
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Akiyama
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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