UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Belfort vs Romero

2,220

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
82% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.1 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier hands 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Yoel Romero
Stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Romero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 3:54, how much damage will he do? Belfort Romero
Significant Strikes23
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 35 Significant Strikes in 3:54
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:54
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Romero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoel
Romero
In 3:54, how much damage will he do? Romero Belfort
Significant Strikes10
Romero's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 35 Significant Strikes in 3:54
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Romero's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Romero has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Romero is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Romero is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Romero 8.8
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Romero 9.0
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Romero 6.6
Great submissions by Belfort
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 1 Mar 25, 2001 vs Southworth
Round 1 Dec 21, 1997 vs Charles

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Romero 8.1
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Romero
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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