UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Diabate vs Manuwa

1,806

CageRank

WINNER
Manuwa

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Manuwa
WILL WIN

1,996

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jimi Manuwa
Much heavier hands 9.9 vs 7.3 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 36 years vs 43 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Cyrille Diabate
Much taller 198 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 206 cm vs 202 cm Almost the same
Manuwa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diabate’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jimi
Manuwa
In 7:58, how much damage will he do? Manuwa Diabate
Significant Strikes33
Manuwa's good striking offense is matched by Diabate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:58
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Manuwa's average takedown offense may be a factor against Diabate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Manuwa has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Manuwa is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Manuwa is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Diabate on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Manuwa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cyrille
Diabate
In 7:58, how much damage will he do? Diabate Manuwa
Significant Strikes35
Diabate's average striking offense is matched by Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:58
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diabate's average takedown offense is matched by Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diabate is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diabate is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diabate is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Manuwa 8.7
fighter Diabate 8.4
Great striking by Manuwa
48 strikes Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
18 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
53 strikes Sep 29, 2012 vs Kingsbury

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Manuwa 8.4
fighter Diabate 8.1
Great takedowns by Manuwa
3 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Manuwa 9.9
fighter Diabate 7.3
Great knockouts by Manuwa
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
Round 1 Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Kingsbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Manuwa 6.5
fighter Diabate 7.5
Great submissions by Diabate
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Griggs
Round 1 Dec 03, 2009 vs Smith
Round 1 Mar 16, 2003 vs Vader

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Manuwa 8.9
fighter Diabate 8.1
Fast finishes by Manuwa
581 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
300 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
188 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Petrescu
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 16, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 7
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,9191,924
1,8691,973
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Manuwa
legend Diabate
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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