UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pierce vs Palhares

2,032

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
60% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 6.6 More than 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Mike Pierce
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.3 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pierce’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 8:24, how much damage will he do? Palhares Pierce
Significant Strikes15
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Pierce's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:24
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Pierce's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pierce on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Pierce
In 8:24, how much damage will he do? Pierce Palhares
Significant Strikes32
Pierce's average striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:24
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Pierce's good takedown offense is matched by Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:24
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pierce has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pierce is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pierce is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Pierce 8.5
Great striking by Pierce
16 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Baczynski
10 strikes Oct 05, 2012 vs Simpson
27 strikes Sep 16, 2009 vs Larson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Pierce 9.0
Great takedowns by Pierce
6 takedowns Dec 15, 2012 vs Baczynski
6 takedowns Mar 21, 2010 vs Paulino
6 takedowns Sep 16, 2009 vs Larson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Pierce 8.3
Great knockouts by Pierce
Round 2 Jul 06, 2013 vs Mitchell
Round 2 Oct 05, 2012 vs Simpson
Round 2 Feb 05, 2011 vs Robertson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Pierce 6.6
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Pierce 7.6
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 9, 2013UFC Fight Night 29
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R1 KOX
2,1001,976
2,0332,043
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Pierce
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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