UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Daley vs Alves Jr.

2,017

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Daley
WILL WIN

1,636

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier 170 lbs vs 159 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.2 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.7 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 6.3 vs 6.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Porfirio Alves Jr.
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alves Jr.’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Alves Jr. on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Porfirio
Alves Jr.
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alves Jr. is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alves Jr. is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alves Jr. is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Alves Jr. 7.2
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Alves Jr. 6.0
Great submissions by Daley
Round 3 Jul 18, 2010 vs Acacio
Round 2 Apr 21, 2007 vs Jenkins

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Alves Jr. 7.0
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 18, 2009WFC 8
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,9491,707
1,9691,687
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Alves Jr.
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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