UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Daley vs Shirai

2,017

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Daley
WILL WIN

1,815

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.5 More than 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Yuya Shirai
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shirai’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 10:57, how much damage will he do? Daley Shirai
Significant Strikes61
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Shirai's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:57
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Shirai's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:57
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Shirai on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yuya
Shirai
In 10:57, how much damage will he do? Shirai Daley
Significant Strikes39
Shirai's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:57
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Shirai's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shirai is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shirai is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shirai has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Shirai 8.2
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Shirai 6.5
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Shirai 6.9
Great submissions by Shirai
Round 1 Apr 25, 2010 vs Mills
Round 3 Mar 14, 2009 vs Young Kim
Round 1 Jul 30, 2006 vs Chinushi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Shirai 7.3
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 26, 2011BAMMA 5
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
2,1121,906
2,1361,883
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Shirai
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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