Paul Daley Semtex 38-15-2

Weight 170 lbs
Height 5' 9"
Reach 75"
Age 35

Rory MacDonald 19-4 Red King

169 lbs
5' 11"
77"
28

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Daley vs MacDonald

CageRank

74% chance MacDonald
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Rory MacDonald

Much stronger takedown offense	8.8	vs	7.6	More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense	7.5	vs	6.3	More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker	9.1	vs	8.7	Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger	28 years	vs	35 years	20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller	180 cm	vs	175 cm	Around 5% taller
Harder to hit	9.0	vs	8.7	Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach	194 cm	vs	189 cm	Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense	8.8	vs	8.4	Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down

Advantages for Paul Daley

Much heavier hands	9.5	vs	8.2	More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes	8.7	vs	8.4	Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier	170 lbs	vs	169 lbs	Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw	9.3	vs	9.1	Almost the same

MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills

Predictions For Rory MacDonald
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	MacDonald		Daley
Significant Strikes83 MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate Daley's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Excellent Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4 MacDonald's good takedown offense may be a factor against Daley's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Good Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission	Average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision MacDonald has a good chance of winning by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability

Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills

Predictions For Paul Daley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Daley		MacDonald
Significant Strikes62 Daley's good striking offense is matched by MacDonald's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Good Striking	vs	Good Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Daley is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Daley is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability