UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Daley vs MacDonald

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
MacDonald

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
74% chance MacDonald
WILL WIN

2,198

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rory MacDonald
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.3 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 194 cm vs 189 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rory
MacDonald
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? MacDonald Daley
Significant Strikes83
MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
MacDonald's good takedown offense may be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
MacDonald has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Daley MacDonald
Significant Strikes62
Daley's good striking offense is matched by MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter MacDonald 9.1
fighter Daley 8.7
Great striking by MacDonald
46 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Ellenberger
116 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
24 strikes Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter MacDonald 8.8
fighter Daley 7.6
Great takedowns by MacDonald
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
7 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Diaz
2 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter MacDonald 8.2
fighter Daley 9.5
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter MacDonald 7.5
fighter Daley 6.3
Great submissions by MacDonald
Round 1 Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon
Round 1 Jun 17, 2006 vs Mein
Round 1 Oct 15, 2005 vs Thiara

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter MacDonald 8.4
fighter Daley 8.8
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 19, 2017Bellator 179
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend MacDonald
legend Daley
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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