UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Daley vs Smith

2,017

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Daley
WILL WIN

1,764

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much harder to hit 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 189 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 7.6 vs 7.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Scott Smith
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 170 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 8:22, how much damage will he do? Daley Smith
Significant Strikes57
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:22
Good
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:22
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Scott
Smith
In 8:22, how much damage will he do? Smith Daley
Significant Strikes26
Smith's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:22
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Smith's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:22
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Smith 8.0
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Smith 7.2
Great takedowns by Daley
1 takedown Jun 22, 2007 vs Ludwig

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Smith 8.5
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Smith 6.2
Great submissions by Daley
Round 3 Jul 18, 2010 vs Acacio
Round 2 Apr 21, 2007 vs Jenkins

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Smith 8.0
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
2,0911,864
2,1121,843
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Smith
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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