UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Daley vs Bears

2,017

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
88% chance Daley
WILL WIN

1,674

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.0 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.8 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for Rudy Bears
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bears’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 5:44, how much damage will he do? Daley Bears
Significant Strikes29
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Bears's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense is matched by Bears's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:44
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Bears on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rudy
Bears
In 5:44, how much damage will he do? Bears Daley
Significant Strikes21
Bears's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:44
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bears's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bears is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bears is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bears is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Bears 8.2
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Bears 7.0
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Bears 7.4
Great submissions by Bears
Round 1 Jun 17, 2010 vs Green
Round 1 Jun 14, 2008 vs Jones
Round 1 Mar 29, 2008 vs James

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Bears 7.6
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 20, 2012Bellator 72
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
2,0071,671
2,0191,658
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Bears
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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