UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Daley vs Morgan

2,017

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
93% chance Daley
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.2 Around 55% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.5 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier 170 lbs vs 164 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.3 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 4:26, how much damage will he do? Daley Morgan
Significant Strikes28
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:26
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:26
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
In 4:26, how much damage will he do? Morgan Daley
Significant Strikes13
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:26
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Morgan's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Morgan 7.9
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Morgan 6.2
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Morgan 7.6
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Morgan 7.5
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,9031,650
1,9221,631
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Morgan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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