UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Daley vs Foupa-Pokam

2,017

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
73% chance Daley
WILL WIN

1,843

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Xavier Foupa-Pokam
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 184 lbs vs 170 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Foupa-Pokam’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 10:45, how much damage will he do? Daley Foupa-Pokam
Significant Strikes61
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Foupa-Pokam's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Foupa-Pokam's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Foupa-Pokam on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Xavier
Foupa-Pokam
In 10:45, how much damage will he do? Foupa-Pokam Daley
Significant Strikes37
Foupa-Pokam's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Foupa-Pokam's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Foupa-Pokam is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Foupa-Pokam is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Foupa-Pokam is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Foupa-Pokam 8.1
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Foupa-Pokam 8.0
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Foupa-Pokam 6.9
Great submissions by Foupa-Pokam
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Shapovalov
Round 1 Nov 29, 2008 vs Rudakov
Round 1 Sep 30, 2006 vs Cook

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Foupa-Pokam 7.9
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 10, 2004Cage Rage 7
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XSUB
1,4841,570
1,5461,508
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Foupa-Pokam
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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