UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Daley vs Woodley

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Woodley

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Woodley
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.3 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Paul Daley
Significantly heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Woodley Daley
Significant Strikes77
Woodley's good striking offense may be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Woodley's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Daley Woodley
Significant Strikes58
Daley's good striking offense is matched by Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Daley 8.7
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Woodley 8.4
fighter Daley 7.6
Great takedowns by Woodley
3 takedowns Jan 07, 2012 vs Mein
2 takedowns Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley
2 takedowns Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Woodley 8.5
fighter Daley 9.5
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Woodley 7.7
fighter Daley 6.3
Great submissions by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Light
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Woods

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Daley 8.8
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R2 KOX
2,0871,905
2,0131,979
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Woodley
legend Daley
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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