UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nunes vs Lentz

1,846

CageRank

WINNER
Lentz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Lentz
WILL WIN

2,069

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nik Lentz
Much stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Diego Nunes
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Lentz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nunes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nik
Lentz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lentz Nunes
Significant Strikes74
Lentz's good striking offense may be a factor against Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Lentz's excellent takedown offense will dominate Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lentz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lentz is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lentz has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Nunes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lentz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Nunes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nunes Lentz
Significant Strikes59
Nunes's average striking offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Nunes's average takedown offense is matched by Lentz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nunes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nunes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nunes has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lentz 8.8
fighter Nunes 8.4
Great striking by Lentz
42 strikes May 18, 2013 vs Dias
56 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
33 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lentz 9.3
fighter Nunes 8.1
Great takedowns by Lentz
4 takedowns May 18, 2013 vs Dias
10 takedowns Jan 19, 2013 vs Nunes
4 takedowns Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lentz 7.2
fighter Nunes 6.7
Great knockouts by Lentz
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Sep 06, 2006 vs Jefferson
Round 1 Sep 06, 2006 vs Vanier

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lentz 7.4
fighter Nunes 7.2
Great submissions by Lentz
Round 3 Mar 26, 2011 vs Lowe
Round 2 May 02, 2008 vs Perzynski
Round 1 Aug 02, 2007 vs Walbridge

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lentz 7.5
fighter Nunes 7.6
Fast finishes by Nunes
140 seconds Aug 30, 2008 vs Franca
280 seconds Sep 16, 2006 vs dos Santos
30 seconds Jul 18, 2004 vs Michel
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 19, 2013UFC on FX 7
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,9911,970
1,9382,023
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lentz
legend Nunes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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