UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Swanson vs Siver

2,134

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Swanson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Swanson
WILL WIN

2,000

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Dennis Siver
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Siver’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
In 12:20, how much damage will he do? Swanson Siver
Significant Strikes55
Swanson's average striking offense is matched by Siver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:20
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Swanson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Siver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Swanson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Siver on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Siver
In 12:20, how much damage will he do? Siver Swanson
Significant Strikes62
Siver's good striking offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:20
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Siver's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:20
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Siver is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Siver is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Siver has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Swanson 8.6
fighter Siver 8.9
Great striking by Siver
68 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Nunes
74 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Sotiropoulos
77 strikes Jun 19, 2010 vs Fisher

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Swanson 8.3
fighter Siver 7.3
Great takedowns by Swanson
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
2 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Poirier
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Roop

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Swanson 8.4
fighter Siver 7.2
Great knockouts by Swanson
Round 3 Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Swanson 7.3
fighter Siver 7.6
Great submissions by Siver
Round 1 Nov 13, 2010 vs Winner
Round 1 Jun 13, 2009 vs Hartt
Round 2 Dec 09, 2006 vs Wallhead

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Swanson 8.0
fighter Siver 7.7
Fast finishes by Swanson
744 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
160 seconds Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
554 seconds Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 6, 2013UFC 162
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XDEC
2,0442,051
2,0952,000
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Swanson
legend Siver
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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