UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Swanson vs Pearson

2,134

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Swanson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
78% chance Swanson
WILL WIN

1,919

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly longer reach 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ross Pearson
Much better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pearson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
In 12:27, how much damage will he do? Swanson Pearson
Significant Strikes65
Swanson's average striking offense is matched by Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:27
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Swanson's average takedown offense is matched by Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pearson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ross
Pearson
In 12:27, how much damage will he do? Pearson Swanson
Significant Strikes62
Pearson's good striking offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:27
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Pearson's average takedown offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pearson is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pearson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pearson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Swanson 8.6
fighter Pearson 8.9
Great striking by Pearson
50 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
52 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Assuncao
59 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Fisher

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Swanson 8.3
fighter Pearson 8.1
Great takedowns by Swanson
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
2 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Poirier
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Roop

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Swanson 8.4
fighter Pearson 7.9
Great knockouts by Swanson
Round 3 Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Swanson 7.3
fighter Pearson 7.3
Great submissions by Swanson
Round 3 Nov 18, 2009 vs Franchi
Round 3 Feb 23, 2008 vs Walker
Round 1 Mar 24, 2007 vs Lee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Swanson 8.0
fighter Pearson 7.9
Fast finishes by Swanson
744 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
160 seconds Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
554 seconds Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 22, 2012UFC on FX 4
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XDEC
1,8851,913
1,9391,859
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Swanson
legend Pearson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus