UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Swanson vs Edgar

2,134

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Swanson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
50% chance Swanson
WILL WIN

2,131

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.4 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Swanson Edgar
Significant Strikes57
Swanson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Swanson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Swanson
Significant Strikes81
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Edgar's good takedown offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Swanson 8.6
fighter Edgar 9.1
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Swanson 8.3
fighter Edgar 9.0
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Swanson 8.4
fighter Edgar 7.7
Great knockouts by Swanson
Round 3 Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Swanson 7.3
fighter Edgar 7.2
Great submissions by Swanson
Round 3 Nov 18, 2009 vs Franchi
Round 3 Feb 23, 2008 vs Walker
Round 1 Mar 24, 2007 vs Lee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Swanson 8.0
fighter Edgar 7.5
Fast finishes by Swanson
744 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
160 seconds Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
554 seconds Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 22, 2014UFC Fight Night 57
team
VS
team
XR5 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Swanson
legend Edgar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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