UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Swanson vs Sanchez

2,134

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Swanson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Swanson
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.4 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Swanson Sanchez
Significant Strikes74
Swanson's average striking offense is matched by Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Swanson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Swanson has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Swanson
Significant Strikes70
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Sanchez's average takedown offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Swanson 8.6
fighter Sanchez 8.7
Great striking by Sanchez
65 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
51 strikes Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
66 strikes Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Swanson 8.3
fighter Sanchez 8.5
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Swanson 8.4
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great knockouts by Swanson
Round 3 Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Swanson 7.3
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great submissions by Swanson
Round 3 Nov 18, 2009 vs Franchi
Round 3 Feb 23, 2008 vs Walker
Round 1 Mar 24, 2007 vs Lee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Swanson 8.0
fighter Sanchez 7.7
Fast finishes by Swanson
744 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
160 seconds Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
554 seconds Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Swanson
legend Sanchez
Read More
Swanson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Sanchez vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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