UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Swanson vs Faber

2,134

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.7 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.8 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 33 years vs 37 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 11:22, how much damage will he do? Faber Swanson
Significant Strikes49
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:22
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Faber's average takedown offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
In 11:22, how much damage will he do? Swanson Faber
Significant Strikes39
Swanson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:22
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Swanson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Swanson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Swanson 8.6
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Swanson 8.3
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Swanson 8.4
Great knockouts by Swanson
Round 3 Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Swanson 7.3
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Swanson 8.0
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Swanson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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