UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Swanson vs Lamas

2,134

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Swanson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Swanson
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Ricardo Lamas
Much better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Slightly fast finishes 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lamas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
In 13:17, how much damage will he do? Swanson Lamas
Significant Strikes53
Swanson's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 119 Significant Strikes in 13:17
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Swanson's average takedown offense is matched by Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Swanson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lamas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricardo
Lamas
In 13:17, how much damage will he do? Lamas Swanson
Significant Strikes51
Lamas's average striking offense is matched by Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 119 Significant Strikes in 13:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Lamas's average takedown offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lamas is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lamas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lamas has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Swanson 8.6
fighter Lamas 8.4
Great striking by Swanson
43 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
58 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Poirier
9 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Swanson 8.3
fighter Lamas 8.3
Great takedowns by Swanson
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
2 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Poirier
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Roop

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Swanson 8.4
fighter Lamas 8.0
Great knockouts by Swanson
Round 3 Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Swanson 7.3
fighter Lamas 7.4
Great submissions by Lamas
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
Round 4 Apr 26, 2008 vs Ferry
Round 1 Jan 25, 2008 vs Corry

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Swanson 8.0
fighter Lamas 8.1
Fast finishes by Lamas
452 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
436 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
223 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Casimir
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 12, 2011UFC on Fox 1
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XDEC
1,8831,947
1,8421,988
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Swanson
legend Lamas
Read More
Swanson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Lamas vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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