UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Swanson vs Carneiro

2,134

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Swanson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Swanson
WILL WIN

1,930

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 6.9 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Renato Carneiro
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carneiro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Carneiro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renato
Carneiro
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carneiro is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carneiro has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carneiro has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Swanson 8.4
fighter Carneiro 6.9
Great knockouts by Swanson
Round 3 Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Swanson 7.3
fighter Carneiro 8.3
Great submissions by Carneiro
Round 2 Apr 06, 2013 vs Chaulet
Round 2 Dec 18, 2010 vs Felipe
Round 3 Mar 20, 2010 vs Almeida

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Swanson 8.0
fighter Carneiro 7.7
Fast finishes by Swanson
744 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
160 seconds Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
554 seconds Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 4, 2018UFC 227
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Swanson
legend Carneiro
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus