UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Swanson vs Holloway

2,134

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Swanson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Swanson
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Max Holloway
Much longer winning streak 10 fights vs 4 fights 2.5x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly younger 25 years vs 33 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Swanson Holloway
Significant Strikes79
Swanson's average striking offense is matched by Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Swanson's average takedown offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Swanson has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Holloway Swanson
Significant Strikes64
Holloway's average striking offense is matched by Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Holloway's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Holloway is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Swanson 8.6
fighter Holloway 8.6
Great striking by Swanson
43 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
58 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Poirier
9 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Swanson 8.3
fighter Holloway 7.5
Great takedowns by Swanson
1 takedown Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
2 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Poirier
2 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Roop

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Swanson 8.4
fighter Holloway 7.9
Great knockouts by Swanson
Round 3 Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Swanson 7.3
fighter Holloway 6.8
Great submissions by Swanson
Round 3 Nov 18, 2009 vs Franchi
Round 3 Feb 23, 2008 vs Walker
Round 1 Mar 24, 2007 vs Lee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Swanson 8.0
fighter Holloway 7.3
Fast finishes by Swanson
744 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
160 seconds Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
554 seconds Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 18, 2015UFC on Fox 15
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Swanson
legend Holloway
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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