UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Swanson vs Franchi

2,134

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Swanson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
91% chance Swanson
WILL WIN

1,725

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cub Swanson
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 178 cm vs 171 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for John Franchi
Significantly better takedown defense 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Swanson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Franchi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cub
Swanson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Swanson Franchi
Significant Strikes78
Swanson's average striking offense is matched by Franchi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Swanson's average takedown offense is matched by Franchi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swanson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Swanson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Swanson has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Franchi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swanson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
John
Franchi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Franchi Swanson
Significant Strikes54
Franchi's average striking offense is matched by Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Franchi's average takedown offense may be a factor against Swanson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Franchi is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Franchi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Franchi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Swanson 8.6
fighter Franchi 8.3
Great striking by Swanson
43 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
58 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Poirier
9 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Swanson 8.3
fighter Franchi 8.6
Great takedowns by Franchi
4 takedowns Mar 01, 2009 vs Budnik

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Swanson 8.4
fighter Franchi 7.3
Great knockouts by Swanson
Round 3 Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Swanson 7.3
fighter Franchi 7.3
Great submissions by Swanson
Round 3 Nov 18, 2009 vs Franchi
Round 3 Feb 23, 2008 vs Walker
Round 1 Mar 24, 2007 vs Lee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Swanson 8.0
fighter Franchi 7.6
Fast finishes by Swanson
744 seconds Jul 06, 2013 vs Siver
160 seconds Sep 22, 2012 vs Oliveira
554 seconds Jun 22, 2012 vs Pearson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 18, 2009WEC 44
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
DECX
1,8741,697
1,9011,671
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Swanson
legend Franchi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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