CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - St. Pierre vs Jones
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Significantly stronger takedown offense | 10.0 | vs | 9.4 | More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Significantly better submission defense | 9.5 | vs | 8.8 | Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Harder to hit | 9.7 | vs | 9.6 | Almost the same |
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much longer reach | 215 cm | vs | 193 cm | More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
Fast finishes | 8.9 | vs | 8.3 | Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Significantly better submission offense | 8.2 | vs | 7.6 | Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
A lot taller | 193 cm | vs | 178 cm | Around 10% taller |
Heavier | 205 lbs | vs | 169 lbs | More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Heavier hands | 8.5 | vs | 8.2 | Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders |
Better striker | 9.6 | vs | 9.3 | Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Younger | 30 years | vs | 36 years | More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Stronger jaw | 9.7 | vs | 9.4 | Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
St. Pierre on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For Georges St. Pierre |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | St. Pierre | Jones | |
Significant Strikes61
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns3
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Excellent
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission |
Average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Jones on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For Jon Jones |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Jones | St. Pierre | |
Significant Strikes68
Jones's excellent striking offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Jones's excellent takedown offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Excellent
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Jones
20 strikes | Apr 27, 2013 | vs Sonnen |
105 strikes | Apr 21, 2012 | vs Evans |
61 strikes | Sep 24, 2011 | vs Jackson |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns | Nov 16, 2013 | vs Hendricks |
7 takedowns | Nov 17, 2012 | vs Condit |
2 takedowns | Apr 30, 2011 | vs Shields |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 | Apr 27, 2013 | vs Sonnen |
Round 3 | Mar 19, 2011 | vs Rua |
Round 1 | Aug 01, 2010 | vs Matyushenko |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 | Sep 22, 2012 | vs Belfort |
Round 2 | Dec 10, 2011 | vs Machida |
Round 4 | Sep 24, 2011 | vs Jackson |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds | Apr 27, 2013 | vs Sonnen |
974 seconds | Sep 24, 2011 | vs Jackson |
757 seconds | Mar 19, 2011 | vs Rua |
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
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