UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Hendricks

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,259

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 175 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 9.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.7 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Hendricks
Significant Strikes79
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks St. Pierre
Significant Strikes55
Hendricks's excellent striking offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hendricks's good takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Hendricks 9.2
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Hendricks 9.1
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Hendricks 8.7
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Hendricks 6.7
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Hendricks 8.7
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 16, 2013UFC 167
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
DECX
2,4282,253
2,4552,226
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Hendricks
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus