UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Hieron

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

1,999

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.4 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Jay Hieron
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hieron’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Hieron
Significant Strikes92
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Hieron's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hieron's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Hieron on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jay
Hieron
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hieron St. Pierre
Significant Strikes28
Hieron's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hieron's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hieron is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hieron is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hieron has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Hieron 8.3
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Hieron 8.4
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Hieron 7.4
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Hieron 7.7
Great submissions by Hieron
Round 2 Jul 13, 2012 vs Manoel da Silva
Round 1 Mar 05, 2011 vs Lapsley
Round 1 Feb 02, 2007 vs Moreno

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Hieron 8.2
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 19, 2004UFC 48
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,8341,656
1,8611,630
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Hieron
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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