UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Menjivar

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
98% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

1,799

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 7.7 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.0 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 169 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ivan Menjivar
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Menjivar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Menjivar
Significant Strikes95
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Menjivar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns7
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Menjivar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Menjivar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ivan
Menjivar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Menjivar St. Pierre
Significant Strikes28
Menjivar's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Menjivar's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Menjivar is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Menjivar has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Menjivar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Menjivar 8.3
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Menjivar 7.7
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Menjivar 7.0
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Menjivar 8.1
Great submissions by Menjivar
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs Albert
Round 1 Sep 03, 2005 vs Lauzon
Round 1 Apr 16, 2005 vs Carlson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Menjivar 8.3
Fast finishes by Menjivar
225 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs Albert
90 seconds Apr 30, 2011 vs Valencia
219 seconds Sep 03, 2005 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 25, 2002UCC 7
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 KO
1,5001,663
1,5721,591
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Menjivar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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