UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Souza

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
77% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 193 cm vs 187 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 183 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Souza
Significant Strikes63
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Souza St. Pierre
Significant Strikes40
Souza's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Souza's excellent takedown offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Souza 8.7
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Souza 9.2
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Souza 7.3
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Souza 9.0
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Souza 9.4
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Souza
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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