UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Spratt

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
98% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

1,757

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 7.2 Around 40% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 7.3 More than 35% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 7.9 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly younger 35 years vs 46 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 182 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Pete Spratt
From what we can tell, Georges St. Pierre dominates Pete Spratt in every way.
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Spratt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Spratt
Significant Strikes69
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Spratt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns7
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Spratt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Spratt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Pete
Spratt
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Spratt St. Pierre
Significant Strikes19
Spratt's below average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Spratt's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Spratt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Spratt is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Spratt is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Spratt 7.8
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Spratt 7.2
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Spratt 8.1
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Spratt 6.9
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Spratt 7.8
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 29, 2003TKO 14
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,7281,715
1,7761,667
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Spratt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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