UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Denny

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
99% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

1,601

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.3 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.3 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.6 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.4 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.3 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly younger 35 years vs 45 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Thomas Denny
From what we can tell, Georges St. Pierre dominates Thomas Denny in every way.
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Denny’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Denny
Significant Strikes94
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Denny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Denny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Denny on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thomas
Denny
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Denny St. Pierre
Significant Strikes27
Denny's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Denny's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Denny is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Denny is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Denny is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Denny 8.2
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Denny 8.4
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Denny 6.3
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Denny 7.4
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Denny 7.5
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 25, 2003UCC 12
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,6851,637
1,7281,594
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Denny
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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