UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Koscheck

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
94% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.9 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Josh Koscheck
From what we can tell, Georges St. Pierre dominates Josh Koscheck in every way.
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Koscheck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Koscheck
Significant Strikes81
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Koscheck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Koscheck
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Koscheck St. Pierre
Significant Strikes27
Koscheck's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Koscheck's good takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Koscheck is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Koscheck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Koscheck is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Koscheck 8.9
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Koscheck 7.9
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Koscheck 7.5
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 11, 2010UFC 124
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
DECX
2,3142,108
2,3382,085
August 25, 2007UFC 74
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 KOX
2,0521,996
2,0941,954
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Koscheck
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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