UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Sherk

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
91% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,059

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 170 cm Around 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 36 years vs 43 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Sean Sherk
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sherk’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Sherk
Significant Strikes95
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Sherk's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Sherk's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Sherk on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sean
Sherk
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sherk St. Pierre
Significant Strikes36
Sherk's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sherk's excellent takedown offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sherk is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sherk is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sherk has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Sherk 8.6
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Sherk 9.2
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Sherk 6.7
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Sherk 7.9
Great submissions by Sherk
Round 1 Sep 23, 2004 vs Farber
Round 1 Apr 30, 2004 vs Short
Round 1 Dec 07, 2002 vs Alexander

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Sherk 7.9
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 19, 2005UFC 56
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,9712,081
2,0362,016
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Sherk
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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