UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Hughes

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,008

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.5 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly younger 35 years vs 43 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Hughes
Better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hughes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Hughes
Significant Strikes90
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Hughes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Hughes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hughes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Hughes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hughes St. Pierre
Significant Strikes43
Hughes's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hughes's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hughes is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hughes has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hughes is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Hughes 8.8
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Hughes 8.5
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Hughes 7.8
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Hughes 8.2
Great submissions by Hughes
Round 1 Aug 07, 2010 vs Almeida
Round 1 Nov 19, 2005 vs Riggs
Round 1 Apr 16, 2005 vs Trigg

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Hughes 8.4
Fast finishes by Hughes
195 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Almeida
208 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Riggs
245 seconds Apr 16, 2005 vs Trigg
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 29, 2007UFC 79
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR2 KO
2,0942,136
2,1502,080
November 18, 2006UFC 65
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR2 SUB
2,0722,187
2,1382,121
October 22, 2004UFC 50
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 KO
1,8612,077
1,8382,099
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Hughes
Read More
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Hughes vs Lesnar
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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