UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Fitch

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,119

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much longer winning streak 12 fights vs 4 fights 3x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 9.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 36 years vs 39 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Jon Fitch
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fitch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Fitch
Significant Strikes66
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Fitch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Fitch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Fitch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Fitch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Fitch St. Pierre
Significant Strikes27
Fitch's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Fitch's excellent takedown offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fitch is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fitch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fitch has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Fitch 8.3
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Fitch 9.3
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Fitch 6.8
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Fitch 7.2
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Fitch 7.2
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 9, 2008UFC 87
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
R1 KOX
2,1702,153
2,2172,105
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Fitch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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