UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Machida

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
84% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,164

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.0 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 37 years vs 40 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Significantly heavier hands 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 10.0 vs 9.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Machida
Significant Strikes47
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Machida St. Pierre
Significant Strikes40
Machida's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Machida's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Machida 8.7
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Machida 8.0
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Machida 8.6
Great knockouts by Machida
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Munoz
Round 2 May 23, 2009 vs Evans
Round 1 Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Machida 6.8
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Machida 8.2
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Machida
Read More
St. Pierre vs Jones
Fantasy Cage Match
Machida vs Bisping
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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