UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Miller

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
97% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

1,865

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.5 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.4 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Jason Miller
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Miller
Significant Strikes86
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
Miller
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Miller St. Pierre
Significant Strikes32
Miller's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miller's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Miller 8.4
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Miller 8.5
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Miller 7.2
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Miller 8.0
Great submissions by Miller
Round 1 Sep 25, 2010 vs Sakuraba
Round 3 Sep 02, 2006 vs Lawler
Round 2 Oct 28, 2005 vs Vitale

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Miller 8.2
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 16, 2005UFC 52
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
1,8781,835
1,9221,791
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Miller
Read More
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Miller vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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