UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Lawler

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
83% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 7.4 More than 35% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.3 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.3 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Significantly heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Lawler
Significant Strikes81
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lawler St. Pierre
Significant Strikes41
Lawler's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Lawler 8.8
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Lawler 7.4
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Lawler 9.3
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Lawler 6.3
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Lawler 8.8
Fast finishes by Lawler
237 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
213 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
22 seconds Oct 21, 2006 vs Villasenor
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Lawler
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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