UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Aldo

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,308

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 7.9 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Aldo
Significant Strikes74
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense is matched by Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Aldo St. Pierre
Significant Strikes44
Aldo's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Aldo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Aldo 8.9
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Aldo 7.9
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Aldo 8.8
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Aldo 6.6
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Aldo 8.7
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Aldo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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