UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Shields

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,188

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 9.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jake Shields
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shields’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Shields
Significant Strikes81
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Shields on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jake
Shields
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Shields St. Pierre
Significant Strikes37
Shields's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Shields's good takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shields is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shields has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shields has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Shields 8.6
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Shields 9.1
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Shields 6.7
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Shields 8.0
Great submissions by Shields
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Lawler
Round 2 Oct 04, 2008 vs Daley
Round 1 Jul 26, 2008 vs Thompson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Shields 8.3
Fast finishes by Shields
122 seconds Jun 06, 2009 vs Lawler
527 seconds Oct 04, 2008 vs Daley
63 seconds Jul 26, 2008 vs Thompson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 30, 2011UFC 129
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
DECX
2,3382,270
2,3782,230
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Shields
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Shields vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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