UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Diaz

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
85% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 7.6 More than 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Significantly better striker 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Diaz
Significant Strikes100
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Diaz St. Pierre
Significant Strikes73
Diaz's excellent striking offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Diaz 9.7
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Diaz 7.6
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Diaz 8.4
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Diaz 8.0
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 3 Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
Round 3 Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Diaz 8.7
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 16, 2013UFC 158
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
DECX
2,4072,172
2,4282,151
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Diaz
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Diaz vs Diaz
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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