UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - St. Pierre vs Nurmagomedov

2,455

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Much longer winning streak 24 fights vs 12 fights 2x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes84
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov St. Pierre
Significant Strikes37
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamkhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Nurmagomedov
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Nurmagomedov vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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