UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oliveira vs Wisely

2,002

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Oliveira

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
72% chance Oliveira
WILL WIN

1,834

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 6.5 More than 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 27 years vs 32 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Eric Wisely
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 159 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wisely’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 11:48, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Wisely
Significant Strikes56
Oliveira's average striking offense is matched by Wisely's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:48
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Oliveira's average takedown offense may be a factor against Wisely's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Wisely on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eric
Wisely
In 11:48, how much damage will he do? Wisely Oliveira
Significant Strikes41
Wisely's average striking offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:48
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Wisely's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:48
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wisely is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Wisely is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wisely is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Oliveira 8.6
fighter Wisely 8.1
Great striking by Oliveira
42 strikes Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
6 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
35 strikes Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Oliveira 8.7
fighter Wisely 7.8
Great takedowns by Oliveira
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
1 takedown Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
2 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Oliveira 7.1
fighter Wisely 7.6
Great knockouts by Wisely
Round 2 Nov 26, 2011 vs Girtz
Round 1 Jan 08, 2010 vs Franca
Round 3 Apr 05, 2008 vs Gwaltney

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Oliveira 9.4
fighter Wisely 6.5
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Oliveira 8.8
fighter Wisely 7.7
Fast finishes by Oliveira
462 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
103 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
41 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Elkins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 28, 2012UFC on Fox 2
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,9271,917
1,9761,868
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Oliveira
legend Wisely
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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