UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oliveira vs Guida

2,002

CageRank

WINNER
Guida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
53% chance Guida
WILL WIN

2,021

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Clay Guida
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 177 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier 155 lbs vs 153 lbs Almost the same
Younger 29 years vs 36 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Guida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clay
Guida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Guida Oliveira
Significant Strikes53
Guida's average striking offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Guida's good takedown offense may be a factor against Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guida is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guida is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Guida
Significant Strikes58
Oliveira's average striking offense won't be a factor against Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Oliveira's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Guida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Guida 8.2
fighter Oliveira 8.6
Great striking by Oliveira
42 strikes Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
6 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
35 strikes Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Guida 9.1
fighter Oliveira 8.7
Great takedowns by Guida
3 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Hioki
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Gomi
4 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Guida 6.6
fighter Oliveira 7.1
Great knockouts by Oliveira
Round 1 Feb 14, 2010 vs Battaglia
Round 2 Dec 29, 2008 vs Silva
Round 1 Mar 15, 2008 vs Braga Alves

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Guida 7.9
fighter Oliveira 9.4
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Guida 7.5
fighter Oliveira 8.8
Fast finishes by Oliveira
462 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
103 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
41 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Elkins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 9, 2018UFC 225
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Guida
legend Oliveira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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