UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oliveira vs Elkins

2,002

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Oliveira

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
52% chance Oliveira
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 7.1 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Darren Elkins
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Elkins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 9:49, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Elkins
Significant Strikes44
Oliveira's average striking offense is matched by Elkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:49
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Oliveira's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Elkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Elkins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Darren
Elkins
In 9:49, how much damage will he do? Elkins Oliveira
Significant Strikes37
Elkins's average striking offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:49
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Elkins's average takedown offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Elkins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Elkins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Elkins has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Oliveira 8.6
fighter Elkins 8.3
Great striking by Oliveira
42 strikes Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
6 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
35 strikes Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Oliveira 8.7
fighter Elkins 8.4
Great takedowns by Oliveira
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
1 takedown Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
2 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Oliveira 7.1
fighter Elkins 7.6
Great knockouts by Elkins
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Carvalho
Round 1 Mar 21, 2010 vs Ludwig
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Neville

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Oliveira 9.4
fighter Elkins 7.1
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Oliveira 8.8
fighter Elkins 8.0
Fast finishes by Oliveira
462 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
103 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
41 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Elkins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,9261,846
1,9651,807
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Oliveira
legend Elkins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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