UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oliveira vs Escudero

2,002

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Oliveira

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Oliveira
WILL WIN

1,907

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 7.4 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 7.1 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 27 years vs 31 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Efrain Escudero
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.6 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Escudero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 12:47, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Escudero
Significant Strikes55
Oliveira's average striking offense is matched by Escudero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:47
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Oliveira's average takedown offense is matched by Escudero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Escudero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Efrain
Escudero
In 12:47, how much damage will he do? Escudero Oliveira
Significant Strikes45
Escudero's average striking offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:47
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Escudero's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:47
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Escudero is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Escudero is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Escudero is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Oliveira 8.6
fighter Escudero 8.2
Great striking by Oliveira
42 strikes Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
6 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
35 strikes Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Oliveira 8.7
fighter Escudero 7.8
Great takedowns by Oliveira
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
1 takedown Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
2 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Oliveira 7.1
fighter Escudero 6.6
Great knockouts by Oliveira
Round 1 Feb 14, 2010 vs Battaglia
Round 2 Dec 29, 2008 vs Silva
Round 1 Mar 15, 2008 vs Braga Alves

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Oliveira 9.4
fighter Escudero 7.4
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Oliveira 8.8
fighter Escudero 7.3
Fast finishes by Oliveira
462 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
103 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
41 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Elkins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 15, 2010UFC Fight Night 22
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,9651,903
2,0061,861
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Oliveira
legend Escudero
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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