UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oliveira vs Miller

2,002

CageRank

WINNER
Miller

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
63% chance Miller
WILL WIN

2,097

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jim Miller
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Charles Oliveira
Significantly better submission offense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 28 years vs 34 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oliveira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jim
Miller
In 9:13, how much damage will he do? Miller Oliveira
Significant Strikes38
Miller's average striking offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:13
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miller's average takedown offense is matched by Oliveira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oliveira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charles
Oliveira
In 9:13, how much damage will he do? Oliveira Miller
Significant Strikes41
Oliveira's average striking offense is matched by Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:13
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Oliveira's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oliveira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oliveira has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oliveira is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miller 8.4
fighter Oliveira 8.6
Great striking by Oliveira
42 strikes Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
6 strikes Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
35 strikes Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miller 8.6
fighter Oliveira 8.7
Great takedowns by Oliveira
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
1 takedown Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
2 takedowns Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miller 7.1
fighter Oliveira 7.1
Great knockouts by Miller
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Shalorus
Round 2 Sep 19, 2009 vs Lopez
Round 2 Nov 30, 2007 vs Liguori

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miller 8.9
fighter Oliveira 9.4
Great submissions by Oliveira
Round 2 Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
Round 1 Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
Round 3 Sep 15, 2010 vs Escudero

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miller 8.7
fighter Oliveira 8.8
Fast finishes by Oliveira
462 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Brookins
103 seconds Jan 28, 2012 vs Wisely
41 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Elkins
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 11, 2010UFC 124
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XDEC
2,0062,111
1,9702,146
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miller
legend Oliveira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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